„Pero a comienzos de la década de los ochenta sucedió algo notable. Por primera vez en la historia, el comercio traspacífico igualó al comercio trasatlántico.“
— George Friedman
Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI
Frases de George Friedman
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George Friedman
Fecha de nacimiento: 1949
Otros nombres:Ջորջ Ֆրիդման
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Frases George Friedman
„Pero su meta no era ganar. Ni siquiera estaba claro qué significaba ganar. Su meta era sólo perturbar al mundo musulmán y ponerlo en contra de sí mismo, para que no emergiera un imperio islámico.“
— George Friedman
Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI
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„En los últimos quinientos años, Europa fue el centro del sistema internacional, y sus imperios crearon un sistema global por primera vez en la historia humana.“
— George Friedman
Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI
„The twenty-first century will be the American century“
— George Friedman
Context: The twenty-first century will be the American century.
p. 18
„This has always been the strength of the United States“
— George Friedman
Context: In the United States, minority populations were never an indigestible mass—with the major exceptions of the one ethnic group that did not come here voluntarily (African Americans) and those who were here when Europeans arrived (American Indians). The rest all came, clustered and dispersed, and added new cultural layers to the general society. This has always been the strength of the United States. In much of Europe, for example, Muslims have retained religious and national identities distinct from the general population, and the general population has given them little encouragement to blend. The strength of their own culture has therefore been overwhelming.
pp. 224–225
„The twenty-first century has begun with an American success“
— George Friedman
Context: The twenty-first century has begun with an American success that on the surface looks like not only a deafeat but a deep political and moral embarrassment.
p. 18
„When I was growing up in the 1950s, the twenty-first century was an idea associated with science fiction, not a reality in which I would live. Practical people focus on the next moment and leave the centuries to dreamers. But the truth is that the twenty-first century has turned out to be a very practical concern to me. I will spent a good deal of my life in it.“
— George Friedman
p. 254
„The problem for China is political. China is held together by money, not ideology. When there is an economic downturn and the money stops rolling in, not only will the banking system spasm, but the entire fabric of Chinese society will shudder. Loyalty in China is either bought or coerced. Without available money, only coercion remains. Business slowdowns can generally lead to instability because they lead to business failure and unemployment. In a country where poverty is endemic and unemployment widespread, the added pressure of an economic downturn will result in political instability.“
— George Friedman
p. 96
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„Mexico will emerge as a major global economic power. Ranked fourteenth or fifteenth early in the century, it will be firmly within the top ten by 2080. With a population of 100 million, it will be a power to be reckoned with anywhere in the world—except on the southern border of the United States.“
— George Friedman
p. 239
„Two forces are emerging that will moot global warming. First, the end of the population explosion will, over the decades, reduce the increases in demand for just about everything. Second, the increase in the cost of both finding and using hydrocarbons will increase the hunger for alternatives.“
— George Friedman
p. 252
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„Old institutions have shattered, but new ones have not yet emerged. The twenty-first century will be a period in which a range of new institutions, moral systems, and practices will begin their first tentative emergence. The first half of the twenty-first century will be marked by intense social conflict globally. All of this frames the international struggles of the twenty-first century.“
— George Friedman
p. 64
